One other heartbreaking story of local weather doom!

Appears as if Larry has decided extra in regards to the story we made enjoyable of right here.

Reposted from Fabius Maximus weblog

Larry Kummer, Editor Local weather change 24 July 2019

Abstract: One other day, one other heart-rending story in regards to the coming local weather doom. Okjökull is lifeless. They are saying that we killed it. The story is bogus, as traditional.

Earth melting - Dreamstime-33491903

ID 33491903 © Rolffimages | Dreamstime.

Okjökull (aka Okay) within the Langjökull Group is a small cupola-type mountain glacier situated north of a snow-filled summit crater on Okay, a volcano in west-central Iceland. Named for its form like a yoke. It has died and grow to be well-known. As universities do lately, Rice put out a lurid press launch. Purple emphasis added. Lecturers in each subject are becoming a member of the local weather publicity parade!

“Iceland’s first glacier misplaced to local weather change might be remembered with a monument to be unveiled subsequent month on the website of the previous glacier. Researchers from Rice College in Houston, creator Andri Snær Magnason and geologist Oddur Sigurðsson will be a part of members of the Icelandic Mountain climbing Society and most people Aug. 18 to put in a monument recognizing the location of the previous Okjökull glacier in Borgarfjörður, Iceland.

“The melted glacier was the topic of the 2018 documentary “Not Okay,” produced by Rice anthropologists Cymene Howe and Dominic Boyer. The movie, narrated by former Reykjavík Mayor Jón Gnarr, tells the story of “Okay,” which in 2014 grew to become the primary glacier in Iceland to lose its title due to international warming. Boyer and Howe mentioned scientists worry all the island nation’s 400-plus glaciers might be passed by 2200. …

“’In the identical spirit because the movie, we needed to create a long-lasting memorial to Okay, a small glacier that has an enormous story to inform,” Boyer mentioned. “Okay was the primary named Icelandic glacier to soften due to how people have reworked the planet’s environment. Its destiny might be shared by all of Iceland’s glaciers except we act now to radically curtail greenhouse fuel emissions.’”

Click to enlarge.Click to enlarge.

After all, journalists went wild with the story, akin to  The Guardian’s “Icelandic memorial warns future: ‘Solely if we saved glaciers.’” My favourite was ScienceAlert’s “Iceland’s Heartbreaking Glacier Memorial For The Future.” Local weather activists went over-the-top, as all the time. As traditional, the story was bogus.

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Okjökull glacierOkjökull glacier

of the Okjökull glacier on 15 September 2003 by O.S., NEA.

For a historical past of OK, see The Glaciers of Iceland: A Historic, Cultural and Scientific Overview

by Helgi Björnsson (2016).

“As soon as upon a time, the glacier had crept forwards in all instructions from the highest of Okay. Pure winter snow settled yearly on the sand that had been blown onto its the earlier summer time. …There isn’t any longer an accumulation zone on Okay and so yearly a skinny sliver is sliced off from the floor of the complete glacier, revealing the layers of sand-like rings in a tree trunk.”

Björnsson describes how Okay shrank quickly in the course of the 20th century, as proven by its space on numerous maps:  38 sq. Km. in 1901, 15 in 1910, 5 in 1945, and beneath one Km. in 2016. Most of this was earlier than anthropogenic warming grew to become the dominant explanation for warming. The IPCC’s Fifth Evaluation Report mentioned that …

“This can be very possible (95 – 100% sure) that human actions brought about greater than half of the noticed improve in international imply floor temperature from 1951 to 2010.”

We all know little of the historical past of the Okay glacier, and particularly about how previous local weather cycles affected it. The one point out I discover within the literature is that this from Geographic Names of Iceland’s Glaciers: Historic and Trendy by Oddur Sigurðsson and Richard S. Williams, Jr. (USGS), web page 164.

“The place-name is famous in Harðar saga “og Hólmverja,” which can have been written as early because the 13th century (probably 15th century). Okay could not have had a glacier at the moment due to the previous hotter interval.”

If Okay died in the course of the Medieval Heat Interval, it was born once more in the course of the Little Ice Age. It could have lived and died numerous occasions throughout it lengthy life. Its newest loss of life is one other instance of climate transformed into propaganda.

Fake news - Dreamstime_115632360Fake news - Dreamstime_115632360

ID 115632360 © Violka08 | Dreamstime.

Disregarded warnings by local weather scientists

Qui tacet consentire videtur ubi loqui debuit ac potuit.
– Roman adage: silence means assent when he must have spoken and was capable of. See Wikipedia.

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A number of scientists have warned in regards to the complicity of their friends in local weather activists’ propaganda. As on this prescient op-ed within the BBC: “Science should finish local weather confusion” by local weather scientist Richard Betts, 11 January 2010.

“After all, we all know that this stuff occur anyway, even with out local weather change – they could occur extra usually beneath a hotter local weather, however it’s fallacious guilty local weather change for each single occasion. Local weather scientists know this, however nonetheless there are folks exterior of local weather science who will declare or indicate such issues if it helps make the information or generate assist for his or her political or enterprise agenda. …

“o local weather scientists do sufficient to counter this? Or are we responsible of turning a blind eye to those issues as a result of we predict they’re on ‘our aspect’ in opposition to the local weather sceptics? …Local weather scientists have to take extra accountability for the communication of their work to keep away from this type of factor. Even when scientists themselves are usually not blaming all the pieces on local weather change, it nonetheless displays badly on us if others do that.”

A more moderen warning is in “Why setting a local weather deadline is harmful” by Shinichiro Asayama et al in Nature Local weather Change, in press. Gated. Open copy right here.

“Though the rhetoric is often seen by scientists as a deceptive interpretation of the IPCC findings, the IPCC and most local weather scientists have to date stored silent, thereby implicitly seeming to endorse it. Nonetheless, on condition that the IPCC’s SR15 report helped to create the situation for this rhetoric, because the institutional authority for local weather science the IPCC ought to take accountability for extra actively participating in political conversations round it.”

Local weather science – maybe all of science, maybe all of us – would possibly pay a excessive value for this cooperation with activists’ exaggerations and fictions about local weather change. The stakes are too excessive. We can not afford this.

Conclusion – and different posts on this sequence

These debunkings are simple to write down as a result of local weather activists are usually not even attempting exhausting anymore. They’ve damaged all efficient resistance, can say something – and journalists rebroadcast it with out criticism. That’s the sort of energy that re-shapes a nation. For extra about this, see different posts in my sequence in regards to the corruption of local weather science.

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In regards to the corruption of local weather science.
The noble corruption of local weather science.
A take a look at the workings of Local weather Propaganda Inc.
New local weather porn: it forces walruses to leap to their loss of life!
Climate porn about Texas, a lesson for Earth Day 2019.
The Extinction Rise up’s hysteria vs. local weather science.
Activists hope that faux information about droughts will win.
Listening to local weather doomsters makes our scenario worse.

For Extra Info

Right here is an instance of a typical episode of hysteria about polar ice in 2013: The North Pole is now a lake! It was gullibly accepted by many on the Left, who ignored the rebuttals by scientists. James D. Agresti exhibits the lengthy historical past of mis-reporting melting on the North Pole.

Again in 2009 and 2010 I wrote skeptically in regards to the melting sea ice predictions (e.g., right here, right here, and right here). This goes up on my checklist of correct predictions.

Hat tip on this story to Anthony Watts.

Concepts! For some buying concepts, see my really useful books and movies at Amazon.

Please like us on Fb, observe us on Twitter. See the necessary issues to find out about international warming. For extra data see all posts in regards to the arctic area and polar sea ice, and particularly these …

In regards to the forces melting the arctic sea ice (not simply CO2).
What we realized from the freak storm that “melted the North Pole” on 30 December 2015.
Terrifying predictions in regards to the melting North Pole!

Books in regards to the state of local weather science

The Rightful Place of Science: Disasters & Local weather Change

by Professor Roger Pielke Jr. (2018).

The Polar Bear Disaster That By no means Occurred

by Susan Crockford (2019).

Disasters and Climate ChangeDisasters and Climate ChangeObtainable at Amazon.

The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never HappenedThe Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never HappenedObtainable at Amazon.

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