NFL picks, predictions in opposition to unfold Week 11: Chiefs edge Raiders; Vikings keep sizzling vs. Cowboys; Bucs dump Rams

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Week 10 had some tough endings to throw off our Sporting Information picks and predictions in opposition to the unfold, led by the Cardinals beating the Payments on a Hail Mary cross. Meaning we simply have to get again to being higher in Week 11.

There are 14 video games on the slate, with just one double-digit unfold and numerous razor-thin strains. That makes the upcoming schedule much more difficult. That will not cease us from our fearless forecasts or our newest pigskin prognosticatons.

Here is breaking down all of the Week 11 matchups as we glance for lots of winners and good success in opposition to the numbers:

MORE: Week 11 NFL energy rankings | Week 11 picks straight up

NFL picks in opposition to the unfold for Week 11

Sunday, eight:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Andy Reid’s groups are 18-Three after a bye in the course of the common season. Patrick Mahomes’ worst lack of his profession got here in Week 5, when he threw his solely interception of the season because the Raiders received at Arrowhead Stadium. Wager on his first journey to Las Vegas being profitable, realizing that he wants his greatest to carry off a red-hot group capturing for Kansas Metropolis’s divisional throne. Kansas Metropolis will run the ball higher and play improved protection to separate the season collection.

Decide: Chiefs win 31-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Thursday, eight:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFL Community and Amazon Prime Video

The Cardinals took over first place with their unbelievable last-second win in opposition to the Payments. In addition they survived the Seahawks in time beyond regulation in Week 7. Kyler Murray will keep scorching, however search for Russell Wilson to rebound from his worst sport of the season, probably with assist from Chris Carson and a extra viable operating sport that can take stress off their overwhelmed protection. Ball management plus a hyper-efficient, lower-volume Wilson will get Seattle again on monitor.

Decide: Seahawks win 38-34 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Pictures)

Monday, eight:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Rams’ protection is enjoying at excessive degree. The Bucs’ protection has been inconsistent however is able to dominating in opposition to the run and by dashing the passer. Tampa Bay has robust recollections of its prime-time residence meltdown in opposition to New Orleans, and so it will not let that occur once more vs. long-traveling Los Angeles. It will likely be simpler for Tom Brady to fabricate offense with the versatile playmakers round him than it is going to be for Jared Goff on the highway.

Decide: Buccaneers win 24-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Ravens notice their probabilities of profitable the AFC North once more are fading, so that they’ll concentrate on ensuring they at the least lock up the wild card with Lamar Jackson. Their recollections of being upset by the Titans at residence in final season’s playoffs ought to immediate them to play higher within the rematch. The Titans’ protection is wilting whereas the Ravens can nonetheless rely on theirs as a spine, regardless of key accidents. Jackson is extra snug at residence than Ryan Tannehill is on the highway.

Decide:  Ravens win 27-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, four:25 p.m. ET, Fox

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have a problem in opposition to a protection that is superb in opposition to the cross and fairly good in opposition to the run. However they need to additionally admire not needing to take care of the weather of Lambeau Subject. The Colts may have success with their deep backfield as they attempt to shorten the sport with ball management and restrict Rodgers’ probabilities. However Rodgers will get assist from his operating sport and protection, too, to arrange massive, game-changing cross performs.

Decide: Packers win 24-20.

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Browns’ operating sport is at full energy, so Cleveland can take video games out of Baker Mayfield’s fingers. They’re additionally getting higher play on protection behind Myles Garrett. The Eagles have a extra ambigious id and Carson Wentz is out of the blue struggling regardless of some reinforcements within the passing sport. Their protection will play higher and maintain them on this robust sport within the Cleveland climate, however Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will make the distinction once more for the Browns in a low-scoring sport.

Decide: Browns win 20-17 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Falcons are coming off a bye, so their offense probably will probably be at full effectiveness round Matt Ryan. The Saints is not going to have Drew Brees (ribs) to duel their NFC South archrivals. Taysom Hill might want to channel a few of his greatest operating and passing to get the higher of Ryan. Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas will carry Hill late in a high-scoring sport, answering what Ryan does with Todd Gurley, Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley.

Decide: Saints win 30-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Lions ought to have Matthew Stafford rolling into Charlotte after lastly fining the precise dose of dynamic rookie operating again D’Andre Swift. The Panthers is not going to have Christian McCaffrey and there is a likelihood Teddy Bridgewater additionally will miss the sport. The Panthers’ protection has fallen aside at each degree in current weeks and the Lions have struck stability between ball management and explosiveness.

Decide: Lions win 27-24.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Texans are horrible in opposition to the run. The Patriots will stay a run-heavy offense with Damien Harris, Rex Burkhead, Cam Newton and whoever else. Deshaun Watson may give a powerful response after his weather-related clunker in Cleveland, because of Will Fuller and former Patriot Brandin Cooks. However search for Invoice Belichick to get the higher of his former defensive coordinator, Romeo Crennel.

Decide: Patriots win 27-24 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Pictures)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Steelers have been good at piling it on in opposition to overmatched groups this season. The Jaguars match that class. With the operating sport struggling, Pittsburgh has been relentless with Ben Roethlisberger and his robust trio of huge receivers. Jacksonville cannot cowl any of them. Pittsburgh will include James Robinson and the Jacksonville operating sport and tee off on Jake Luton, the second consecutive rookie QB they will be dealing with.

Decide: Steelers win 34-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Talking of rookie QBs, Joe Burrow will bounce again from his brutal outing in opposition to the Steelers by working the center the sector and spreading the ball round in opposition to a Washington protection that’s creating extra holes. Alex Smith will maintain shifting the ball for Washington with loads of assist from operating backs Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic. however Burrow will cling in there to ship the game-winning field-goal drive.

Decide: Bengals win 23-20

Sunday, four:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Jets should take an extended flight after their bye. Joe Flacco and La’Mical Perine are actually within the major offensive roles with Sam Darnold (shoulder) out once more and Frank Gore turning into extra of a backup. The Chargers ought to really feel assured about Justin Herbert making massive performs all around the area and having extra success with its dashing committee. They merely do not win shut video games, nonetheless, so this needs to be a blowout outcome or a loss. Go for the previous with LA at residence.

Decide: Chargers win 31-21 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Pictures)

Sunday, four:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Broncos are seeing Drew Lock fade because the turnovers pile up whereas Tua Tagovailoa (Three-Zero) is continuous his rise because the Dolphins’ franchise quarterback. Miami may have success shifting the ball with a balanced assault and Tagovailoa getting the ball out shortly. The Dolphins’ protection will drive Lock into extra errors after shutting down the run.

Decide: Dolphins win 24-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, four:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Cowboys confirmed life on offense and protection of their shut loss to the Steelers earlier than the bye. They need to be more healthy and simpler in each the run and cross video games with Ezekiel Elliott and Andy Dalton within the backfield. The Vikings will probably be coming off a brief week, and whereas Dalvin Prepare dinner ought to have one other massive sport, their secondary is made to be exploited by the Cowboys’ massive playmaking huge receivers.

Decide: Vikings win 34-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Stats of the Week

Week 10 straight up: 9-5

Week 10 in opposition to the unfold: 7-5

Season straight up: 96-50

Season in opposition to the unfold: 87-57

 

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