Temperature Forecasts, Cherry Blossoms and Covid-19


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Reposted from The Cliff Mass Climate Weblog

To start out on a optimistic word, the Cherry Blossoms are in full bloom on the UW Campus, with the visible impact enhanced by the attractive, sunny climate.  (I ought to word that the UW just isn’t encouraging people to go to the blosssoms in particular person).

There may be loads of curiosity within the temperature/coronavirus relationship and what the climate forecasts recommend.
Through the previous a number of weeks there have been a number of papers submitted (however not but reviewed) suggesting that coronavirus prospers for each day imply temperatures roughly from 32F to 55F.  Hotter than that, the virus has issues.
The temperature map for the previous month means that the one space of the U.S. that has been at sufficiently heat (14C–57F or extra) to gradual up the virus was the southeast U.S. (see beneath).

20200318.30day.mean.C (1)

20200318.30day.mean.C (1)

Sadly, the newest forecasts don’t provide warm-temperature virus reduction for a lot of the nation throughout the subsequent week.  Let me present that by presenting the 11 AM PDT temperatures for the subsequent few days.  Search for the blue, yellow, orange and pink colours for virus-poor circumstances.
Saturday morning: SE U.S. is sweet.  Not so good for the NW and NE.

Monday–similar factor,  however improved  (heat) situation in most of Texas.

By Wednesday, hotter temperatures are over the SE, the central plains, and up into the Carolinas.

Quick forwarding to subsequent Sunday (March 29th), little enchancment for the NW and NE.

The underside line is that mom nature just isn’t giving most of us the nice and cozy temperatures wanted to suppress the virus    However April just isn’t far-off.
And if you’d like some excellent news, the coronavirus testing on the College of Washington (Med Faculty’s Virology division) is now discovering a stabilization within the variety of optimistic evaluations (see graphic beneath).   One other good piece of reports is that the overwhelming variety of assessments are unfavourable (people are getting sick from the flu and different sicknesses).

UW Virology have been excessive heroes throughout this occasion, offering COVID-19 testing when CDC was failing, in addition to revving as much as do hundreds of assessments per day.  Makes one proud to be a husky.  Take a look at their site—and think about offering a donation for his or her wonderful work.

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